Showing posts with label MSFT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MSFT. Show all posts

Monday, January 29, 2024

The companies that are reporting earnings on 01/30/2024

$GOOGL - Google is going to report earnings tomorrow after the market close.

Estimated EPS: $1.60 (+52.34% YoY) Estimated Revenue: $85.27B (+12.13% YoY) 5 years FCF CAGR is +30.05% 5 years Revenue CAGR is +18.86% 5 years EPS CAGR is +18.93% FCF margin: 26.14% Debt/equity: 0.11 ROIC: 28.57% WAAC: 11.57% ROIC > WAAC. It's a great company to invest in.


$MSFT -Microsoft will report its earnings tomorrow after the market close. EPS estimates: $2.77 (+19.34% YoY) Revenue Estimates: $61.13B (+15.89% YoY) 5 years FCF CAGR is +11.24% 5 years Revenue CAGR is +12.34% 5 years EPS CAGR is +15.32% FCF margin: 28.96% Debt/equity: 0.48 ROIC: 27.24% WAAC: 10.06% ROIC > WAAC. Another great company to invest in.

$SBUX - Starbucks is going to report its earnings tomorrow:
Estimated EPS: $0.939 (+25.13% YoY)
Estimated Revenue: $9.63B (+10.48% YoY)

$AMD - Advanced Micro Devices is going to report its earnings tomorrow.
Estimated EPS: $0.77 (+11.60% YoY)
Estimated Revenue: $6.14B (+9.64% YoY)

$MDLZ - Mondelez will report its earnings tomorrow after the market close.
Estimated EPS: $0.774 (+6.05% YoY)
Estimated Revenue: $9.30B (+6.9% YoY)

$PFE - Pfizer is going to report its earnings tomorrow
Estimated EPS: $-0.183 vs. $1.14 last year.
Estimated Revenue: $14.40B (-40.73% YoY)
Not looking good.

$DHR - Danaher Corp. is going to report earnings
Estimated EPS: $1.90 (-33.86% YoY)
Estimated Revenue: $6B (-28.31% YoY)

$UPS - UPS Store is going to report its earnings tomorrow.
Estimated EPS: $2.46 (-32.04% YoY)
Estimated Revenue: $25.41B (-6% YoY)

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Portfolio Update - March 2020


Portfolio Update - March 2020

Today I am going to share my portfolio at the end of March 2020. This month we entered the bear market and my portfolio nose dived and I had to sell all of my remaining position of Delta Airlines (DAL) and also I have lowered my positions in the British Petroleum (BP) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) to raise some cash to buy some great stocks those I was waiting for an entry point for quite a long time. In February, I have sold all of my positions in Bank of America (BAC) at $34.5, 3/4 th of my JP Morgan (JPM) at $103, and Delta (DAL) at $46. I invested in DAL for a long time but I have decided to seel all because it will take them years to recover and the dividend is not going to come soon. because I am a dividend growth investor so I don't need to be invested for long in this stock. I was so lucky that I made a quick decision to sell most of my positions at $46. I sold my last few positions at $25. I raised a lot of cash in February by selling the stocks and I was holding around 10% cash in my brokerage account. I was so much active in the market around mid March and I think I made some great investment for the longer term. With those money I have opened my position in Starbux (SBUX) at $52, Disney (DIS) at $92, Cater Pillar (CAT) at $97, Realty Income (O) at $47, Store Capital (STOR), Duke Energy (DUK) at $74, and Southern Co (SO) at $44 in March. I have also added McDonald's (MCD) at $130, Cisco (CSCO) at $37, Leggett & Platt (LEG) at $23, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) at $123, Emerson (EMR) at $46, Honeywell at $117, 3M (MMM) at $138, PPL at $26, and At&t (T) at $27. At the end of this blog you will see my overall portfolio. Below is the table that shows my portfolio distribution:


The same table is shown as a pie chart. I have invested in Apple (AAPL) in 2018 December and since then it sky rocketed. I am adding any more AAPL as I am holding more than 10% in my portfolio. I am also not going to invest in MMM anymore. I will add more positions in JNJ, HD, and MCD if I get them cheap. Microsoft(MSFT) is looking expensive right now. I will also add more DIS, CAT, and HON. I am also keeping an eye on O, STOR, DUK, and SO stocks.


The sector distribution of my portfolio is shown in the following pie chart. The sectors are based on Yahoo Finance. Currently, my highest position is in the health sector with 20% of my portfolio. I just invested in JNJ this month but the increase is because I have lowered my positions significantly in the financial and the energy sector. My second highest sector is the technology sector with 18%. The technology performed better in March and I have added more CSCO stocks. 
I always update my transaction in the tipranks website and the figure below compares my portfolio performance against the S&P 500. In most of the cases my portfolio beat the market.




My performance as a portfolio manager is also not bad. At then end of March I was ranked 1530 out of 24989 managers which is at the top 6%. My portfolio has gained 26.05% since I started to invest since 2017 August. Last month my gain was 69%. Last months bear market brought my gain down to 26%. My sharpe ratio is 0.81 while the average tiprank managers is -0.27.


My 12 month returns (TTM) is -6.07% while the YTD return is -19.5%. There may be more down turn in my portfolio but I am investing for long term so I should not be worried about this roller-coaster type movement.


The meter below shows my projected income in terms of dividends. On 31st March 2020, my projected income through dividends were $1118.99. It dropped from my last month because I have sold some high yield oil shares and holding cash. This income may drop more because some of the companies may cut their dividends.


My current yield on cost (YOC) is 3.84% while my current portfolio yield 3.54%. Because I am investing in dividend growth stocks so my YOC will continue to grow with time while the current yield depends with the market volatility. The yield will go up when the market is down and the vice versa.


The following figure shows the comparison of my current yield and YOC with time. Because the market dropped a lot, that's why the current yield is going up. This signals a buying opportunity in the market. For the longer term, if I keep investing in dividend growth stocks, my YOC will keep growing with time.


The following chart shows my growth in projected annual income with time. It is slowly but steadily increasing and this month I have received my highest earning so far through dividends.


The table below summarizes the dividends that I received in March 2020. This month I have received $144.16. My highest paying dividend paying stock for this part of the quarter was BP. Then MMM, HD, JNJ, XOM, and PFE. 


The following table shows the detailed performances of my portfolio. The current prices are based on March 31st, 2020. In the chart, I have shared my current positions, annual income through dividends, total received dividends from each companies so far, cost basis, YOC, current yield, and finally the total gain or loss including the dividend income. The top 4 stocks that I gained the most so far is MSFT 91%, MA 64%, PG 55%, and AAPL 54%. Currently, I am in the downside in all the oil stocks. I am more than 30% down in XOM, BP, and CVX.




Thursday, February 27, 2020

Portfolio Update - January 2020


Portfolio Update - January 2020

Today I am sharing my portfolio at the end of January 2020. This blog was written two weeks ago. I was very busy in the last few days so at the current situation of the market the prices of the stocks has a big difference. I will update my current portfolio as soon as possible. As of January I was holding 33 stocks. This month I have sold all of my positions in L Brands (LB). I sold them at $23.4 at the end of January which I bought at $17.4 in November 2019. I got 35% profit in just 2 months of holding. The chart below shows my current portfolio and sector distribution of the portfolio.


The pie chart below shows diversity. The chart indicates a well-diversified portfolio with Apple (AAPL) is my highest position. I bought them in December 2018 and since then it keep increasing. My other top holdings are JP Morgan (JPM) 5.9%, Home Depot (HD) 5.6%, Abbvie (ABBV) 5%, and J&J (JNJ) 4.8%. 

The sector distribution of my portfolio is shown in the following pie chart. The sectors are based on Yahoo finance. My highest position is in the consumer sector with 19.9% (combined). My next large sectors are the technology, financial, and health sectors with 16% each.



I always update my trades in the tipranks website. The figure below compares my portfolio performance against the S&P 500. Most of the cases my portfolio beats the market.

My performance as a portfolio manager is also good. I am ranked 725 out of 23,372 investors which is in the top 3%. My portfolio has gained 69% since I started to invest in the market in 2017 and my sharp ratio is 3.04 while the average is only 0.99. The sharpe ratio is "A measure of your returns and associated risk you take on compared to returns of risk-free assets".


My 12 month returns (TTM) is 30.84% while the YTD return is 7.97%. At the time of writing of the blog the market tumbled almost 10%. So this chart does not count the last 2 days drop.




The meter below shows my projected income in terms of dividends. On 31st January 2020, my projected income through were $1214.38. I have accomplished my first target of earning $100 monthly through dividends. My dividend income increased 3.4% compared to the last month. I have added some oil stocks in this month such as British Petroleum (BP), Chevron (CVX), and Exxon Mobil (XOM). All the oil stocks are down big and I am bullish about the future outlook of this sector. On the other hand I have sold my positions in Gaps (GPS) and L Brands (LB). I have got some nice profit from these two stocks in just 2 months of investment.


My current Yield on cost is 3.78% while my current portfolio yield is 2.99%. Because I am investing in dividend growth stocks so my YOC will continue to grow with time while the current yield depends with the market volatility. The yield will go up when the market is down and the vice versa.



The following figure shows the comparison of my current yield and the YOC with time. My YOC is higher than the current yield because of the bullish market. For longer term, if I keep investing in dividend growth stocks, my YOC will keep growing with time.


The following chart shows my growth in projected annual income with time. It is slowly but steadily increasing and this month it reached to my first goal of earning $100 per month.


The table below summarizes the dividends that I received in January 2020. This month I have received $62.34. My highest paying dividend paying for this part of the quarter is from Jp Morgan Chase ($16.24).


The following table shows the detailed performances of my portfolio. The current prices are based on January 31st 2020. So the prices do not reflect the current price in the market. In the chart, I shared my current positions, annual income that I will receive in a year, total recieved dividends from the companies, and finally the gain or loss for each company. Please note that I have added the total dividends received to calculate the gain or loss for each company. The top 3 stocks in terms of gain are Mastercard (MA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Apple (AAPL).



Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Portfolio Update - December 2019


Portfolio Update - December 2019

Today I am sharing my portfolio at the end of December 2019. I am holding 34 stocks in my portfolio. This month I have opened 4 new positions in my portfolio. I have initiated my positions in British Petroleum (BP), L Brands (LB), and Gap Inc (GPS). I am long on BP but I am not long on LB and GPS. I am expecting a short term gain from LB and GPS. They are pretty much down in December and in my opinion, I think they are undervalued. In the coming earnings time, I am expecting a big jump in these two stocks. I am also holding cash because at the current situation of the market it's really hard to find an undervalued stock. The chart below shows my current portfolio and sector distribution of my portfolio.



The pie chart below shows diversity. The chart indicates a well-diversified with Apple (AAPL) is my highest position. Apple's recent surge increased my holding percentage a little high. My next big holdings are JP Morgan (JPM), Abbvie (ABBV), Home Depot (HD), and 3M (MMM).


The sector distribution of my portfolio has been shown in the following pie chart. The sectors are based on Yahoo Finance. My highest position is in the consumer sector with 21.5% combined (both consumer and defensive). My other largest sectors are the healthcare, financial, and technology sectors respectively. 

The meter below shows my projected income in terms of dividends. On 31st December 2019, my projected income through dividends were $1174. I have set my first target to $100 per month form dividends which is $1200 per year. Compared to last month my dividend increased from $1079.89. The increase is due to my investment in higher yield stocks such as. Gap Inc (GPS), L Brands (LB), and British Petroleum (BP).



The current yield of my portfolio is 2.93% while my Yield on Cost (YOC) is 3.75%. Because of my investment in high yield stocks, my income increased 0.05% compared to the last month.




The following figure shows the comparison of my current yield and the YOC with time. It shows that the YOC of my portfolio is going up while my current yield is below the YOC. Because I invest in dividend growth stocks that's why my YOC will keep increasing with time. However, current yield depends on market volatility. If the market is up the yield drops and if the market is down then the yield increases.


The following chart shows my growth in projected annual income with time. It is slowly but steadily increasing and reaching to achieve my first goal.


The table below summarizes the dividends that I received in December 2019. This month I have received the highest amount of dividends. The increase is due to the addition of MMM and JNJ stocks and dividend increases from JNJ, MSFT, V, and MCD.


The following table shows the detailed performances of my portfolio. The current prices are based on December 31st, 2019. So the prices do not reflect the current price in the market. In the chart, I have shared my current positions, annual income that I will receive in a year, total received dividends from the companies, and finally the gain or loss for each company. Please note that I have added the total dividends received to calculate the gain or loss for each company. My biggest gain so far is MSFT, MA, AAPL, V, and PG. I am invested in a long term in all the companies.




Sunday, January 5, 2020

Monthly Dividend Update December 2019

December 2019 - Monthly Dividend Update

In December 2019, I have received a total of $119.65 in dividends. The chart below shows the amount of money received in dividends each month in 2019. This month was the highest amount I received since I started to invest. This month my dividend increased from $101.56 to $119.65 which is a 17.8% increase compared to the last quarter (September). The increase is due to the addition of Exxon Mobil (XOM) in my portfolio. I have also purchased a few stocks of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), 3M (MMM), and Emerson Electric (EMR). Other than that my income also increased because of the dividend increase from Pfizer (PFE), Microsoft (MSFT), McDonald's (MCD), and Visa (V). On the other hand, I have sold half of my positions in Honeywell (HON). Because of this, my dividend decreased a little bit. 


The next table shows the total dividends received in 2019 from my portfolio. In total, I have received $968.59 in the year. Last year I received $422 in dividends. So this year I have doubled my income.


The next table shows my dividend growth performance in 2019. The last column of the chart shows the change in dividends compared to the previous year. The box marked green indicates the percentage of dividends increased in the current year while the box with red means a decrease in dividends this year. In the last month, I got dividend raise from Bristol-Myers (BMY) 9.8%, Dominion Energy (D), 2.5%, Iron Mountain (IRM) 1.23%, Mastercard (MA) 21.2% and At&t (T) 2%. The increase in dividends raised $8 income in a year. In 2019, I got raised from all the companies except The Kraft & Heinz (KHC).


The chart and table below summarize my dividend distribution in the portfolio. The most percentages of dividends I am receiving are from ABBV and T. I need to diversify my dividend income. I am receiving most of my dividends from a few companies. Specifically, I am worried about KHC. They may cut the dividends again this year. Currently, it is 5.4% in my portfolio. So like last year it may significantly lower my income.

The following chart shows the dividends received monthly from my portfolio. The chart clearly indicates the growth of my monthly dividends with time.


The following chart compares my monthly dividends on a yearly basis. In the last month, I have received $119.65 while in 2018 in the same month I received $82.36 which is 45.28% YOY growth.


The next chart shows the total amount of dividends received on a quarterly basis. This year, the first three quarters remained the same. However, This quarter my income increased compared to the last quarter.  This quarter my income is $270.17 which is 17.07% growth. Again, compared to 2018 Q4 it increased by 42.47%. 


My current yield is 2.93% and my yield of cost (YOC) is 3.75%. This month my YOC increase because of my investment in new stocks which has high yields and also due to the increase in dividends to a few positions in my portfolio.


My projected annual dividends in December 2019 is $1174.76. This month I got a $100 increase in yearly income through dividends. I have added three new positions in my portfolio. I will write about those new additions in my next blog.


The chart below shows the average dividend income received monthly. My average income is almost reaching my first goal of receiving $100 monthly.


Saturday, October 5, 2019

Dividends Received in September 2019





Dividends Received in September 2019

In September 2019, I have received a total of $101.56 in dividends. The chart below the dividends that I received in each month in 2019. This cycle is the highest paying dividends as most of my stocks award dividends at this cycle. The top-paying dividend stocks in this month are The Kraft & Heinz (KHC), Johnsson & Johnson (JNJ), Home Depot (HD), 3M (MMM), and Pfizer (PFE). 


The following chart shows the dividends received monthly from my portfolio. The chart clearly indicates the growth of my monthly dividends with time.

The following chart compares my monthly dividends on a yearly basis. In September 2019, I have received $101.56 while in 2018 in the same month I received just $53.3 which is a 90.54% YOY increase. 


The following chart shows my dividends amount on a quarterly basis. There's a double increase in my dividends compared to the same quarter last year.


The next table shows my dividend growth performance so far in 2019. The last column of the chart shows the change in dividends compared to the previous year. The box marked green indicates the percentage of dividends increased in the year 2019 while the box marked red means a decrease in dividends this year. In the last month, Honeywell (HON) increased their dividends 9.8%, Mcdonalds (MCD) 7.78%, Microsoft (MSFT) 10.7%, and Texas Instruments (TXN) 16.9%. That's a solid dividend growth month for my portfolio. An increase in dividends from these companies increased my dividends $6.48 more in my yearly dividends. The only stock that hasn't increase their dividends is Visa (V). I am expecting a 20% increase in dividends from V this month.


The table next shows the monthly dividends received so far from each company and the table alsi shows my year to date income from dividends which is $698.

My projected annual dividends in September 2019 is $1048. My first goal is to earn $100 monthly from dividends which is $1200 a year. I am very close to that goal. I will keep investing in dividend stocks monthly and reinvesting the dividends.


The chart below shows my dividen distribution in the portfolio. The most dividends I am receiving is from Abbvie (ABBV) with 10.3% followed by At&t (T) with 8.8%.