Sunday, December 8, 2024

Last week's top and worst performing stocks

 Last week's best-performing stocks:

$DOCU Docusign Inc +35.00%
$SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc +27.00%
$LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc +24.00%
$PSTG Pure Storage Inc +22.00%
$ROKU Roku Inc +20.00%
$AAL American Airlines Group Inc +20.00%
$U Unity Software Inc +17.00%
$WDAY Workday Inc +17.00%
$MRVL Marvell Technology Inc +16.00%
$RBLX Roblox Corp +15.00%
$PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc +15.00%
$HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co +14.00%
$RDDT Reddit Inc +14.00%
$COIN Coinbase Global Inc +13.00%
$TSLA Tesla Inc +12.00%
$ULTA Ulta Beauty Inc +10.00%
$AVGO Broadcom Inc +10.00%
$DDOG Datadog Inc +9.70%
$EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc +9.60%
$CRM Salesforce Inc +9.40%
$HOOD Robinhood Markets Inc +9.10%
$WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. +8.70%
$TER Teradyne Inc +8.60%
$META Meta Platforms Inc +7.90%


Last week's worst performers:

$INTC Intel Corp: -16.00%
$MCHP Microchip Technology Inc: -13.00%
$RKLB Rocket Lab USA Inc: -12.00%
$UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc: -11.00%
$HAL Halliburton Company: -10.00%
$NUE Nucor Corp: -8.90%
$UBER Uber Technologies Inc: -8.30%
$BALL Ball Corp: -7.80%
$DVN Devon Energy Corp: -7.50%
$UPS United Parcel Service, Inc.: -7.40%
$CVS CVS Health Corp: -7.40%
$CPB Campbell's Co: -7.30%
$FDX FedEx Corp: -6.90%
$SNPS Synopsys Inc: -6.70%
$CTRA Coterra Energy Inc: -6.70%
$ON ON Semiconductor Corp: -6.70%
$MBLY Mobileye Global Inc: -6.70%
$LYB LyondellBasell Industries NV: -6.60%
$SLB Schlumberger NV: -6.50%
$LEN Lennar Corp Class A: -6.40%
$ELV Elevance Health Inc: -6.40%
$CHWY Chewy Inc: -6.30%




Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Earnings from Salesforce and Okta

$CRM Salesforce is going to report its 2025 Q3 earnings after hours. 

Consensus revenue: $9.3B (+7.19% YoY)

EPS estimates: $2.45 (+15.92% YoY)

The following is the Q3 revenues reported by $CRM since 2004:


Salesforce's ($CRM) revenue has shown a consistent upward trend since 1999.

In Q3 of 2024, the revenue appears to be just under $10 billion, as indicated by the bar reaching close to the $10,000,000,000 mark on the y-axis.

The growth trajectory suggests a significant increase over the years, with a marked rise starting around 2015.

The trend indicates a steady expansion in revenue, likely due to an increased customer base, expanded services, or acquisitions.

$OKTA is going to report its earnings after hours.

Consensus revenue: $649.64M (+11.24%YoY)

EPS estimate: $0.584 (+32.60% YoY)

The charts below show the Q3 revenues and EPS for $OKTA since 2016. 



The revenue indicates consistent revenue growth, with a steep incline in recent years.

For the first time, there is a positive projection (represented in pink). This marks a significant improvement.



YTD it is down 10%. I am hoping for a jump after earnings.

Sunday, December 1, 2024

EV/EBITDA against EBITDA Margin for Tech companies

EV/EBITDA against EBITDA Margin % can provide insight into a company's valuation, operational efficiency, and market perception. 


EV/EBITDA is used to compare the value of a company, including debt, to its cash earnings minus non-cash expenses.


EBITDA Margin % shows how much of each dollar of revenue is converted into EBITDA, which indicates operational efficiency and profitability.


High EV/EBITDA with High EBITDA Margin: This suggests a company is both profitable and highly valued by the market, potentially due to strong growth prospects or market dominance. 

High EV/EBITDA with Low EBITDA Margin: Could imply that the market is betting on future improvements or growth, despite current inefficiencies or lower profitability. $NVDA, $AMD

Low EV/EBITDA with High EBITDA Margin: Might indicate an undervalued company with good operational efficiency but possibly overlooked by the market, or it could reflect concerns about future growth or industry downturns. $AVGO, $TXN

Low EV/EBITDA with Low EBITDA Margin: This suggests a company that's both undervalued and operationally inefficient, potentially a distressed asset or one in a declining industry. $INTC, $ACN

This comparison can guide investment decisions:

Value Investing: Look for low EV/EBITDA companies with improving or already high EBITDA margins as potential undervalued opportunities. $QCOM, $CSCO, $AMAT, $LRCX, $NXPI, $AAPL.

Growth Investing: High EV/EBITDA might be justified if coupled with improving EBITDA margins, signaling operational leverage and growth. $CDNS, $ADBE.



Sunday, June 30, 2024

Weekly recap: Stocks that were up or down more than 5%.

Notable stocks that were up more than 5% last week:

$RIVN Rivian Automotive Inc                         +29.07%

$FDX FedEx Corp                                         +18.15%

$CCL Carnival Corp                                         +15.09%

$CVNA Carvana Co                                         +14.26%

$RDDT Reddit Inc                                         +11.29%

$DDOG Datadog Inc                                         +11.12%

$MDB Mongodb Inc                                         +9.94%

$MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc +9.14%

$OKTA Okta Inc                                                 +8.63%

$PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc                 +8.19%

$SNAP Snap Inc                                                 +7.13%

$CHWY Chewy Inc                                         +7.01%

$TSLA Tesla Inc                                                 +6.92%

$BKR Baker Hughes Co                                 +6.74%

$GME GameStop Corp                                 +6.66%

$SNOW Snowflake Inc                                         +6.60%

$ROK Rockwell Automation Inc                 +6.10%

$CRM Salesforce Inc                                         +5.93%

$C         Citigroup Inc                                         +5.79%

$PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc                         +5.79%

$NOW ServiceNow Inc                                 +5.66%

$SONY Sony Group Corp                                 +5.53%

$LNG Cheniere Energy Inc                         +5.48%

$HUM Humana Inc                                         +5.05%


Notable stocks that were down more than 5% last week

$WBA         Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc     -24.25%

$NKE         Nike Inc                                         -22.69%

$FSLR         First Solar Inc                                 -12.49%

$MRNA         Moderna Inc                                 -11.76%

$POOL         Pool Corp                                 -9.18%

$DKNG         DraftKings Inc                         -8.73%

$JD                 JD.Com Inc                                 -8.62%

$MU         Micron Technology Inc                 -7.81%

$IP                 International Paper Co                 -6.80%

$EL                 Estee Lauder Companies Inc         -6.78%

$BBY         Best Buy Co Inc                         -6.64%

$MKKGY Merck KGaA                                 -6.59%

$PDD         PDD Holdings Inc - ADR         -6.46%

$CAH         Cardinal Health Inc                 -6.35%

$SMCI         Super Micro Computer Inc         -6.32%

$GIS         General Mills Inc                         -6.17%

$DKS         DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc         -6.16%

$CELH         Celsius Holdings, Inc.                 -6.04%

$APD         Air Products and Chemicals Inc -5.69%

$Z                 Zillow Group Inc Class C         -5.41%

$RTX         Rtx Corp                                     -5.19%

$RHHBY Roche Holdings                         -5.16%



Tuesday, June 25, 2024

Stock market summary - 06/25/2024

 Today's highest option volume

$NVDA NVIDIA Corp                                                 6.75M

$TSLA Tesla Inc                                                         1.37M

$AAPL Apple Inc                                                 1.30M

$AMZN Amazon.com Inc                                         846.25K

$AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.                 515.55K

$GME GameStop Corp                                         350.41K

$PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc                         276.45K

$META Meta Platforms Inc                                         276.23K

$DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp 250.25K

$CCL Carnival Corp                                                 237.60K

$MARA Marathon Digital Holdings Inc                 223.60K

$SMCI Super Micro Computer Inc                         222.68K

$MU Micron Technology Inc                                 220.38K

$INTC Intel Corp                                                 201.30K

$COIN Coinbase Global Inc                                 197.17K

$F Ford Motor Co                                                 195.54K

$GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A                         194.43K

$SOFI SoFi Technologies Inc                                 190.61K

$MSFT Microsoft Corp                                         184.31K

$PFE Pfizer Inc                                                 174.18K

$TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.         171.79K

$AMC AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc                 160.06K

$BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd - ADR         159.76K

$BAC Bank of America Corp                                 157.83K

$RIVN Rivian Automotive Inc                                 150.16K

$RIOT Riot Platforms Inc                                         131.83K

Notable stocks that reached 52-week high today

$GOOGL    Alphabet Inc Class A
$LLY     Eli Lilly And Co
$NVO     Novo Nordisk A/S
$MRK     Merck & Co Inc
$ISRG     Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
$BKNG     Booking Holdings Inc
$T             AT&T Inc
$REGN     Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
$IBN     ICICI Bank Ltd
$CL             Colgate-Palmolive Company
$MCK     McKesson Corp
$CTAS     Cintas Corp
$FDX     FedEx Corp
$RCL     Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
$VRSK     Verisk Analytics, Inc.
$FICO     Fair Isaac Corp
$PINS     Pinterest Inc
$TRGP     Targa Resources Corp
$EBAY     eBay Inc
$CVNA     Carvana Co
$BURL     Burlington Stores Inc
$ALLY     Ally Financial Inc

Notable stocks that reached 52-week low today:

$SNOW Snowflake Inc
$WY Weyerhaeuser Co
$NKLA Nikola Corp
$POOL Pool Corp
$SOLV Solventum Corp
$EXAS Exact Sciences Corp
$FIZZ National Beverage Corp.
$MP Mp Materials Corp
$INTA Intapp Inc

Today's top 10 performers on my watchlist:

$MSTR MicroStrategy Inc                 9.01%
$RIVN Rivian Automotive Inc         8.63%
$NVDA NVIDIA Corp                         6.76%
$SNAP Snap Inc                                 6.64%
$ARM Arm Holdings PLC - ADR 6.31%
$IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust         4.55%
$COIN Coinbase Global Inc         4.43%
$PINS Pinterest Inc                         4.31%
$RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd 4.02%
$MELI MercadoLibre Inc                 3.75%

Today's 10 worst performers on my watchlist:

$CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.         -6.54%
$DKNG DraftKings Inc                 -5.02%
$LOW Lowe's Companies Inc         -4.88%
$TSCO Tractor Supply Co                 -4.62%
$WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc.         -4.46%
$BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. -4.01%
$ALB Albemarle Corporation         -3.77%
$HD Home Depot Inc                 -3.58%
$GM General Motors Co                 -3.53%
$CE         Celanese Corporation         -3.34%


Sunday, June 23, 2024

This animal healthcare stocks is fairly valued

Zoetis is the largest global animal health company, holding a significant market share. Its strong brand recognition and extensive portfolio of products for livestock and pets give it a competitive edge. Zoetis has demonstrated strong and consistent financial performance, with steady revenue and profit growth. This stability is attractive for long-term investors seeking reliable returns. Zoetis offers a wide range of products including vaccines, medicines, diagnostics, and genetic tests for both livestock and companion animals. This diversification helps mitigate risk and ensures multiple revenue streams. The pet care market has been growing steadily, driven by increasing pet ownership and higher spending on pet health and wellness. Zoetis is well-positioned to benefit from this trend with its extensive range of pet health products. Zoetis invests heavily in research and development, continuously bringing new and innovative products to market. This focus on innovation helps maintain its competitive edge and drives future growth. Zoetis has a strong international presence and continues to expand into new markets, particularly in emerging economies where demand for animal health products is increasing. The company has a history of strategic acquisitions that enhance its product offerings and market reach. These acquisitions help drive growth and improve the company's competitive position. Zoetis is committed to sustainable business practices, which can enhance its reputation and appeal to socially responsible investors. This includes efforts in environmental sustainability and ethical animal treatment. The animal health industry tends to be more resilient during economic downturns compared to other sectors, as spending on animal health is often considered essential. This stability can provide a buffer against economic volatility. Zoetis has a strong and experienced management team with a clear vision for long-term growth and value creation. Effective leadership is crucial for navigating challenges and capitalizing on opportunities.

$ZTS - Zoestis, an animal healthcare company looks fairly valued. 

PE ratio: 29.65

Dividend Payout ratio: 29.98%

FCF payout ratio: 49.29%

5 yr revenue CAGR: +7.96%

5 yr EPS CAGR: +11.41%

5 yr FCF CAGR: +3.18%

5 yr dividend CAGR: +24.37%

FCF yield: 2.05%

FCF margin: 18.94%

12 months Analyst avg. price target: $209.33 (22.35% upside)


$ZTS: Since 2010, the EPS has been growing by double digits.

5 yr EPS CAGR: +11.41%

10 yr EPS CAGR: +17.53%

EPS growth forecast for 

2024: +14.82% (19 analysts)

2025: +10.67% (19 analysts)

2026: +9.71% (14 analysts)


$ZTS: Since 2010, the revenue has been growing.

5 yr revenue CAGR: +7.96%

10 yr revenue CAGR: +6.48%

Revenue growth forecast for

2024: +8.19% (19 analysts)

2025: +6.17% (19 analysts)

2026: +6.61% (14 analysts)


$ZTS - The net income has been growing by double digits. 5 yr net income CAGR: +10.42% 10 yr net income CAGR: +16.61% Net income is increasing while the outstanding shares are decreasing which indicates a positive financial trend for the company, leading to an increase in EPS and share buybacks.



$ZTS - The debt-to-equity is dropping fast.


$ZTS - so far is an outstanding dividend grower. 5 yr dividend CAGR: +24.37% 10 yr dividend CAGR: +22.63% Dividend Payout ratio: 29.98% FCF payout ratio: 49.29%



Saturday, June 22, 2024

Weekly recap: Stocks that were up and down more than 5%

Notable stocks that were up more than 5% last week. 

$CVNA Carvana Co                             11.28%

$GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc.             9.08%

$ACN Accenture Plc                             7.92%

$ELF elf Beauty Inc                             7.73%

$ORLY O'Reilly Automotive Inc             7.42%

$DKNG DraftKings Inc                     7.33%

$INTU Intuit Inc                                     7.17%

$EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp     6.63%

$CRM Salesforce Inc                             6.47%

$STLD Steel Dynamics Inc                     6.45%

$CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.             6.39%

$LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.             6.35%

$SYF Synchrony Financial             6.34%

$BKR Baker Hughes Co                     6.22%

$SLB Schlumberger NV                     5.84%

$DELL Dell Technologies Inc             5.58%

$CHTR Charter Communications Inc     5.58%

$CCL Carnival Corp                             5.57%

$AZO Autozone Inc                             5.48%

$MANH Manhattan Associates Inc     5.48%

$WDAY Workday Inc                             5.45%

$IBN ICICI Bank Ltd                     5.44%

$NKE Nike Inc                                     5.36%

$GE General Electric Co                     5.20%



Stocks that were down more than 5% last week:

$GME GameStop Corp         -16.56%

$ENPH Enphase Energy Inc -13.59%

$ALB Albemarle Corporation -8.20%

$BALL Ball Corp                 -8.17%

$AVGO Broadcom Inc                 -7.64%

$COIN Coinbase Global Inc -6.03%

$FSLR First Solar Inc                 -5.67%

$RIVN Rivian Automotive Inc -5.24%